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New-Product Forecasting Research with Focus on Diffusion Modeling

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multiproduct, intercategory, generational and contingent diffusion and substitution


Definition:
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Count: 42
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Publications:

Krankel, Mark R., Izak Duenyas, Roman Kapuscinski. 2006. Timing successive product introductions with demand diffusion and stochastic technology improvement. Manufacturing and Service Operation Management 8 (2) 119-135.

Stremersch, Stefan, Eitan Muller. 2006. Growth acceleration across technology generations. Working Paper.

Bass, Portia Isaacson, Frank M. Bass. 2004. IT waves: two completed generational diffusion models. Working Paper.

Shocker, Allan D., Barry L. Bayus, Namwoon Kim. 2004. Product complements and substitutes in the real world: the relevance of other products. Journal of Marketing 68 (1) 28–40.

Van den Bulte, Christophe. 2004. Multigeneration innovation diffusion and intergeneration time: a cautionary note. Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science 32 357-360.

Meade, Nigel, Towhidul Islam. 2003. Modelling the dependence between the times to international adoption of two related technologies. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 70 759–778.

Mesak, Hani I., Ali F. Darrat. 2003. An empirical inquiry into new subscriber services under interdependent adoption processes. Journal of Service Research 6(2) 180-192.

Pae, Jae H, Donald R. Lehmann. 2003. Multigeneration innovation diffusion: the impact of intergeneration time. Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science 31 36-45.

Sohn, S. Y., B. J. Ahn. 2003. Multigeneration diffusion model for economic assessment of new technology. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 70 251–264.

Bass, Portia Isaacson. 2003. Generational diffusion model data: the IBM mainframe case. Working Paper.

Jun, Duk Bin, S. K. Kim, Y. S. Park, M. H. Park, A. R. Wilson. 2002. Forecasting telecommunication service subscribers in substitutive and competitive environments. International Journal of Forecasting 18 561–581.

Bass, Portia Isaacson, Frank M. Bass. 2001. Diffusion of technology generations: a model of adoption and repeat sales. Working Paper.

Danaher, Peter J., Bruce G.S. Hardie, William P. Putsis, Jr. 2001. Marketing-mix variables and the diffusion of successive generations of a technological innovation. Journal of Marketing Research 38 (November) 501–514.

Kim, Namwoon, Dae Ryun Chang, Allan D. Shocker. 2000. Modeling intercategory and generational dynamics for a growing information technology industry. Management Science 46 (4) 496–512.

Bayus, Barry L., Namwoon Kim, Allan D. Shocker. 2000. Growth models for multiproduct interactions: current status and new directions. In New-Product Diffusion Models . V. Mahajan, E. Muller, & Y. Wind (Eds.), London: Kluwer Academic Publisher.

Jun, Duk Bin, Y. S. Park. 1999. A choice based diffusion model for multiple generations of products. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 61 45–58.

Chintagunta, Pradeep K., Sudeep Haldar. 1998. Investigating purchase timing behavior in two related product categories. Journal of Marketing Research 35.1 (1998) 43-53.

Islam, Towhidul, Nigel Meade. 1997. The diffusion of successive generations of a technology: a more general model. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 56 49–60.

Johnson, W. C., K. Bhatia. 1997. Technological substitution in mobile communications. Journal of Business and Industrial Marketing 12.6 (1997) 383-399.

Pistorius, C. WI, J. M. Utterback. 1997. Multi-mode interaction among technologies. Research Policy 26 (1) 67-84.

Mahajan, Vijay, Eitan Muller. 1996. Timing, diffusion and substitution of successive generations of technological innovations: the IBM mainframe case. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 51 109–132.

Speece, Mark W., Douglas L. MacLachlan. 1995. Application of a multi-generation diffusion model to milk container technology. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 49.3 (1995) 281-295.

Bayus, Barry L. 1993. High definition television: assessing demand forecasts for a next generation consumer durable. Management Science 39 (11) 1319–1333.

Bucklin, Louis P., Sanjit Sengupta. 1993. The co-diffusion of complementary innovations: supermarket scanners and UPC symbols. Journal of Product Innovation Management 10 148–160.

Mansfield, Edwin. 1993. The diffusion of flexible manufacturing systems in japan, Europe and the United States. Management Science 39(2) 149-159.

Bayus, Barry L. 1992. Dynamic pricing of next-generation consumer durables. Marketing Science 11 (3) 251-265.

Norton, John A., Frank M. Bass. 1992. Evolution of technological generations: the law of capture. Sloan Management Review 33 (2) 66–77.

Speece, Mark W., Douglas L. MacLachlan. 1992. Forecasting fluid milk package type with a multi-generation new product diffusion model. IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management 39 169–175.

Mahajan, Vijay, Eitan Muller. 1991. Pricing and diffusion of primary and contingent product. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 39 291-307.

Bhargava, Subhash C. 1989. Generalized Lotka-Volterra equations and the mechanism of technological substitution. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 35(1989) 319-326.

Meade, Nigel. 1989. Technological substitution: a framework of stochastic models. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 36 389-400.

Bayus, Barry L. 1987. Forecasting sales of new contingent products: an application to the compact disc markets. Journal of Product Innovation Management 4 243–255.

Lee, J. C., K. W. Lu. 1987. On a family of data-based transformed models useful in forecasting technological substitution. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 31 61–78.

Norton, John A., Frank M. Bass. 1987. A diffusion theory model of adoption and substitution for successive generations of high-technology products. Management Science 33 (9) 1069–1086.

Balcer, Y., S. A. Lippman. 1981. Adoption of improved technology. Working Paper. Los Angeles: Western Management Science Institute, University of California.

Bretschneider, Stuart I., Vijay Mahajan. 1980. Adaptive technological substitution models. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 18 129–139.

Mahajan, Vijay, Robert A. Peterson. 1979. Integrating time and space in technological substitution models. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 14 231–241.

Peterson, Robert A., Vijay Mahajan. 1978. Multi-product growth models. Research in Marketing 1 201-231.

Marchetti, C. 1977. Primary energy substitution models: on the interaction between energy and society. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 10 345–356.

Sharif, M. Nawaz, C. Kabir. 1976. A generalized model for forecasting technological substitution. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 8 353-364.

Sharif, M. Nawaz, C. Kabir. 1976. System dynamics modelling for forecasting multilevel technological substitution. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 9 89–112.

Fisher, John C., Robert H. Pry. 1971. A simple substitution model of technological change. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 3 75–88.



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